Looking at the latest market condition report, brought to you by the NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®, pending home sales dropped off in November, down by 16% from where they had been in October, but were still significantly higher — 15.5% higher in fact — than they had been last November.
That was the big picture, but it was a similar story across every region of the country.
Just like the nation as a whole, sales in every part of the U.S. was down compared with the tremendously busy month of October but significantly stronger than they had been a year ago, in November of 2008.
In the Northeast, pending sales dropped 25.7% compared with October, but were an impressive 14.7% higher than a year ago. Sales declined in the Midwest by 25.7% between October and November, but were still up by 9.2% over the previous November.
Down South, sales fell 15% in the South in November, but were 14.7% higher than 12 months ago.
Out West, sales slowed by only 2.7, and were tremendously higher than last November — by 21.4%.
The fervent fall sales came about after the federal government offered a tax credit to first time home buyers to close on a property before the end of November. They certainly stepped up to the plate. In spite of the fact that as many as 2 million first time home buyers purchased homes in the last several months of the year, it’s still likely there are many waiting in the wings, which may help keep up the momentum going into 2010.
One concern going into 2010, is whether there is going to be enough housing on the market for all the potential buyers. Of course, there is a lot of variation across the nation. But some areas were reporting, months back, that there was limited inventory at the low end — the most popular for first time buyers. And that may be where the new tax credit — created to help repeat buyers — may be important. It is estimated that as many as 1-and-a-half million repeat buyers may jump into the market early this year and why wouldn‘t they?
In general terms, there are good bargains out there. Looking at the nation as a whole, prices were still on the decline in 2009. Combine that with low mortgage rates and homes were more affordable than they had been in decades.
Let’s hope the possible inventory shortages don’t get in the way of eager buyers getting into the home of their dream… and getting a great deal along the way.